New York, New York… Conservative Doug Hoffman’s Numbers Rising for Special Nov. 3 Election

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Posted By Vicki McClure Davidson on October 16, 2009

The New York November 3 special election is not a done deal… support Doug Hoffman!

From American Spectator, Robert Stacy McCain:

UPDATE: Conservative Hoffman Gains in N.Y. Special Election

New poll numbers in the Nov. 3 special election:

Bill Owens (D) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Dede Scozzafava (R) . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Doug Hoffman (Conservative) . . . 23%

This is a huge gain for Hoffman. The liberal media are headlining the lead for Owens, but the more important point is Hoffman’s momentum. He’s gained 7 points in two weeks, while Scozzafava’s lost 6. It shows how Scozzafava’s support in this key three-way upstate New York congressional race has collapsed because of Hoffman’s exposure of the RINO candidate’s liberal voting record. The Hill reports:

Hoffman has surged in Oneida and Oswego, at the western end of the district. Hoffman takes 34 percent of the vote in one of the district’s most populous areas, narrowly edging Owens by three points. Scozzafava, whose television advertising campaign has been far weaker than either Owens or Hoffman, trails with just 21 percent in those counties.

From Weekly Standard:

A new poll in the November 3 special election for the congressional seat, NY-23, vacated by Army Secretary John McHugh, confirms what knowledgeable observers have suspected for a while: The candidacy of the official Republican nominee, liberal Dede Scozzafava, selected by local party officials and supported by the national Republican establishment, is collapsing. The Republican who has a real chance to defeat Democrat Bill Owens is Doug Hoffman, the Conservative Party candidate—a Republican with a profile far more like the popular McHugh, and one far more in sync with the district. What’s more, if elected, Hoffman would caucus in Congress with Republicans—whereas Scozzafava could well pull an Arlen Specter and defect to the Democrats.

Two weeks ago, the Siena poll had Scozzafava at 35%, Owens at 28%, and Hoffman at 16%. Now Scozzafava, at 29%, trails Owens by 4—and leads Hoffman, who has risen to 23%, by only 6, compared to her 19 point lead over Hoffman two weeks ago. This despite a full-court press for Scozzafava by the state and national GOP establishment—including press releases from the National Republican Congressional Committee attacking Hoffman.

The new poll shows Democrats are coming home to Owens, and that Hoffman is leading among independents. (Scozzafava is running third among independents.) This suggests he’s a far more viable candidate than Scozzafava in the stretch run, especially if Republicans were to begin to coalesce around him—which might well happen if the GOP establishment stopped propping up Scozzafava. Most tellingly, the more voters learn about Scozzafava the less they like her: 67 percent of voters have seen a Scozzafava commercial (only 33 percent have seen a Hoffman commercial). But, by an amazing margin of 28-12 percent, those who’ve seen Scozzafava’s commercials say those ads make them less likely to support her. Overall, Scozzafava’s favorable-unfavorable rating has gone in the last two weeks from plus 13 (33-20) to plus 5 (37-32); Owens has been stable at about plus 10: and Hoffman has gone from plus 3 (16-13) to plus 8 (23-15).

So Hoffman has the momentum and a chance to win, while Scozzafava is fading. It’s probably too late for the national and state Republicans to reverse their foolish initial blessing of Scozzafava—but surely they could at least stop attacking Hoffman, spend what money they’re going to spend attacking Owens, give up on pressuring high profile Republicans not to go in to help Hoffman, and therefore give Hoffman a decent chance to win.

To contribute to Doug Hoffman’s campaign, go here.

Categories: Conservatism, Government, Knowledge, Social and Political Climate
Tags: Bill Owens, conservative, Dede Scozzafava, Doug Hoffman, Independent, New York, New York election, NY, NY-23, political, politics, Republican, special election

About the author

Vicki McClure Davidson

I'm a conservative frugalist. My priorities: Watchdogging the government, making sure our tax dollars are spent wisely, living within our budgets (at home and in Washington, DC), and adhering to our Constitution and the conservative principles upon which it was developed by our founding fathers. Also, loving God, my family, and my country. Be wise, be frugal. God bless America!

Comments

3 Responses to “New York, New York… Conservative Doug Hoffman’s Numbers Rising for Special Nov. 3 Election”

AFVET says:

October 16, 2009 at 10:37 AM

We’re witnessing a sea-change in the electorate.
Maryland and New Jersey will also show the left where they stand.
I guess Obama scored another one for the DNC in San Fran.
$34000.00 per couple to hear the messiah speak.
Don’t know how many attended.
- AFVET says:
  
  October 16, 2009 at 10:42 AM
  
  Correction on the above comment.
  Virginia and New Jersey are up for Governor this year.
  
  Hey,… I’m allowed a simple mistake once in a while, eh?
  - admin says:
    
    October 16, 2009 at 10:45 AM
    
    Good catch… I’m multi-tasking at work, and didn’t catch it.

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